Here is my guess :
around 5% of all
java programmers are certified at the programmer level.
about 40% of these programmer are developers ( either java 2 developers / web component / business component ) .
case 1 )of the developers about 20 % are scea .
case 2) of the Sun Certified programmers who directly jumped to scea 5%
case 3 ) Directly SCEA without any other sun cert , my guess is only 5% of all SCEAs belong to this group . Yet to meet some one like that
So case 1 + case 2 represents 95% .
So if there are 2 million serious java developers .
My guess is at best 27K . And this is a high end estimate , actual numbers might be lower.
Please take pot shots at my ratios , rather than the number above , so that when the number of java programmers are released by other organizations we can recalculate these numbers .
bye
kpt
K.P.Thottam (K.P.T)<br /> <br />Sun Certified Enterprise Architect,TOGAF 8 Certified,Certified Information System security Professional (CISSP),SCJDWS,SCWCD,SCJP,MCP