That
thread is talking about JNLP files, which contain a description of how to launch a Java WebStart app; they're interpreted by the Java Plugin. My guess would be that when the cache is full, IE starts randomly deleting files. The browser knows about this, but Java WebStart doesn't know that the files it's used in the past out of the cache are no longer there.
It might be a pilot error, in that the user set things up to use files from the cache instead of off permanent storage (i.e., they've basically bookmarked a file in the cache) or it might be just how the Plugin works on Windows. I tried this on my Powerbook, and clicking on a JNLP link downloads the JNLP file to the desktop, where it's obviously going to persist after the cache is cleared.
[ November 09, 2005: Message edited by: Ernest Friedman-Hill ]