http://www.manning.com/Simpson/index.html I was at the Manning site and noticed the book above which was written in 1996 is still available for sale! I though it might be amusing to read the chapter on "the future of Java" to see how wrong the author was!
Well - Manning sent me the book - but I am not laughing . To tell you the truth it is STILL a really well written book for managers and such folks that do not WANT to take a deep dive into java but still need to understand what it is all about. Anyway - enough of a review - I will post one in the BunkHouse. In the meantime this is what Chapter 10 - "The Future of Java" had to say. Remember that it was published in 1996: -Big stress on internet uses -Big stress on micro processors and hardware devices and internet appliances -Big stress on distributed object computing. Watch out for Cloned Java Environments. PERC from NewMonics is given as an example of embedded systems running applications in java -Look for CORBA to become a big thing (no mention of J2EE of course) -Sun will need to defend itself against MicroSoft and AT&T -Lots on Microsofts ActiveX and how it will NOT win the battle against java -Bell Labs Inferno OS with Limbo as a language may be a factor "The Crystal Ball"
Only MicroSoft would seem to have the clout to produce a successful proprietory equivalent to Java - and even its present dominance is not sufficient to guarantee success when its nemisis runs perfectly well on its own flagship products, and on all its competitors as well. Innovation and competition in third-party software are more likely to support Java than to oppose it. Developers have ample scope to produce better, faster, more efficient implementations of the Java Virtual Machine an dJIT compilers, integrated development environments and toolsets, applets and applications, class libraries - why take on the unenviable challenge of bucking a widely accepted standard? It is astonishing that a programming environment so recently out of its infancy should be so well poised to take and hold so dominant a role in the computing industry.
I think that these guys get an A+ for crystal ball gazing .
"JavaRanch, where the deer and the Certified play" - David O'Meara