The new OCPJ11Dev (or whatever it's shortcut will be) has been released but it seems to have a different format than the Java 8 one. It doesn't have an OCA and an OCP anymore, it only has OCP with 2 exams needed to pass. I already have the OCAJ8P certification and I was planning to take the exam for OCPJ8P as soon as possible, and at a later date if I need to, do the upgrade to OCPJ11Dev. This way I will keep on having a new certification after each exam.
Would it be reasonable for me to assume that OCPJ8P will not be retired this year? That would give me enough time to prepare and pass the exam.
P.S. I know that only Oracle could give me a 100% answer, so I am just looking for best guess here.
Watch the Oracle website; they give several months' notice before withdrawing an exam.
But Java7 came out in 2009 and was superseded in 2014 (Java8) and the exam continued current for nearly five years after that. Java8 was still current two years ago and less, so you are probably all right to sit the Java8 exam this year. But as you say, only Oracle know. Actually, they probably haven't decided yet.
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